Today’s post will be mostly about current news/headlines to keep you current on some of the themes upon which I report.  Of course, a great deal is happening.

First, though, I want to share a rather upbeat article so that I contest my reputation for being Mr. Doom and Gloom.  The message is from one of the authors of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change which just issued a very sobering report to say the least.  The message is:

 

“Don’t Give Up.  

It’s true that climate change has already dramatically reshaped much of the world. But society has all the tools at its disposal to prevent more warming in the future…

“This is a problem with a solution! With many solutions!”

 

Their message is the exact same as I’ve been preaching forever.

 

“The message from scientists is clear: There’s no time for despair. Action matters now more than ever.

 

The article calls for the same action that I have been crying out for…

 

“For anyone hoping to make large-scale changes in the world, “you may want to vote for people that reflect the same values,” Tebaldi added. “Put people in power that reflect that kind of priority.””

 

Scroll to the end past the headlines for the full article.  Meanwhile, I will be off the grid for a few weeks. My son and I are going kayaking in the N. Maine wilderness (with a Sierra Club group all fully vaccinated and outdoors all the time).  It will most likely be late September until you hear from me again.  Meanwhile, a healthy and sweet New Year to all my fellow Jewish followers and to all the rest of you as well.

Now the headlines.  (I apologize that you may not be able to access some of the articles in so far as some of the sources require you to be a paid subscriber.)

 

Climate Related:

 

July 2021 Was Officially the Hottest Month Ever

https://www.livescience.com/july-2021-hottest-month-ever

Northern Hemisphere was particularly scorching

 

North Dakotans can’t grow enough feed for their cattle, so they’re selling off the animals before they starve.
A lack of snow last winter and almost no spring rain have created the driest conditions in generations. Ranchers are being forced to sell off portions of herds they have built up for years, often at fire-sale prices, to stay in business.

 

U.S. Crops Wither Under Scorching Heat

Drought is blistering key U.S. cash crops, further elevating prices for staples including corn and wheat.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-crops-wither-under-scorching-heat-11629797401

 

How the California Megadrought Is Affecting Food Prices

California’s multibillion-dollar agriculture industry is in serious trouble due to the drought. And you’ll be paying for it at the grocery store.

https://gizmodo.com/how-the-california-megadrought-is-affecting-food-prices-1847435913?mc_cid=d05758f44d&mc_eid=8f4760cc57

 

One of the Coldest Places on Earth Is On Fire

Blazes could pump a record amount of climate-warming CO2 into the atmosphere, with wildfires also plaguing California, Turkey and Canada

Read in The Wall Street Journal: https://apple.news/AS9eY-SI_TuypK_YJ1XifSQ

 

Scientists See Old Hurricane Predictions Coming True

https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eenews/2021/08/19/scientists-see-old-hurricane-predictions-coming-true-279709

In 1987, climate scientist Kerry Emanuel published  a simple conclusion in the scientific journal Nature: As the earth’s climate warms, hurricanes will grow more intense…
Now, 34 years later, scientists see it coming true before their eyes.

 

Health Related

 

Study Links Common Mental Illnesses to Air Pollution Exposure

https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eenews/2021/08/27/study-links-common-mental-illnesses-to-air-pollution-exposure-280063

Exposure to two common classes of pollutants may contribute to the chances of developing common mental illnesses like depression, researchers in Great Britain have found.
Their study …adds to the body of evidence tentatively linking dirty air to an array of brain diseases that also include Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s (Greenwire,Oct. 20, 2020).

 

Energy

 

Get Ready for the Nuclear Fusion Revolution

It’s been hyped for decades. But scientific progress — and commercial competition — may soon produce a truly groundbreaking clean-energy technology.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-23/nuclear-fusion-breakthrough-may-be-cause-for-climate-optimism?cmpid=BBD082321_CUS&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=210823&utm_campaign=closeamericas

sustainable nuclear fusion, long hypothesized, took a step closer to reality this month

 

Solar Power Booms in Georgia, Where It Isn’t Mandated

The state has no subsidies or renewable-energy requirements, but solar farms draw support of Republican utility regulators, rural communities

https://www.wsj.com/articles/solar-power-booms-in-georgia-where-it-isnt-mandated-11629637200

Solar power is booming there anyway.
The state went from having virtually no solar industry a decade ago to ranking ninth nationwide in installed solar capacity this year

 

Chemical Breakthrough Could Unlock Clean Energy from Waste Heat

https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eenews/2021/08/23/chemical-breakthrough-could-unlock-clean-energy-from-waste-heat-279302

An international team of scientists claims to have discovered the most efficient material ever to convert waste heat into electricity, potentially unlocking a huge source of clean power.
Researchers from Northwestern University

 

Way too much already but I’ll leave you with this.

 

These Maps Tell the Story of Two Americas: One Parched, One Soaked

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/24/climate/warmer-wetter-world.html?algo=combo_lda_channelsize5_unique_edimp_fye_step50_diversified&block=1&campaign_id=142&emc=edit_fory_20210824&fellback=false&imp_id=343795525&instance_id=38711&nl=for-you&nlid=91958744&rank=1&regi_id=91958744&req_id=694056039&segment_id=67112&surface=for-you-email-wym&user_id=8377d1f66a57cc2fd87a0167fa0f159b&variant=0_combo_lda_channelsize5_unique_edimp_step50_diversified

The country, like most of the world, is becoming both drier and wetter in the era of climate change. It depends where you live.

Climate Scientists Have a Message for the World: Don’t Give Up

Chelsea Harvey
August 13, 2021

Hurricane Dorian as seen from the International Space Station on Sept. 2, 2019.

Hurricane Dorian as seen from the International Space Station on Sept. 2, 2019. Climate change is expected to make hurricanes more intense.NASA/Cover Images/Newscom

CLIMATEWIRE | Climate change is real, it’s happening now, and it’s wreaking havoc across the world.

So said a much-anticipated report released Monday by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that has inspired dire headlines and international hand-wringing over the starkest warnings yet about droughts, floods, fires, extreme heat, rising sea levels and melting ice.

But climate scientists and authors of the report — the experts most intimately familiar with these grim findings — have a message for the world: Don’t give up. There’s work to be done.

“By nature, I’m not very emotional about this stuff. I am very realistic about things,” said Claudia Tebaldi, an author of the report and a climate scientist with the Joint Global Change Research Institute at the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. “Yes, it would have been nice to have done something much earlier than this. But I don’t believe in regrets. I just want to do something going forward.”

It’s true that climate change has already dramatically reshaped much of the world. But society has all the tools at its disposal to prevent more warming in the future.

“I’ve been incredibly annoyed by the glib ‘welp-we’re-doomed’ coverage this report has been getting,” said Kate Marvel, a NASA climate scientist, in an email to E&E News. “This is a problem with a solution! With many solutions!”

Around the globe, governments are currently striving to meet the goals of the 2015 Paris climate agreement: namely, keeping global temperatures within 2 degrees Celsius of their preindustrial levels, and within a more ambitious 1.5-degree threshold if possible. So far, the carbon-cutting commitments that participating nations have submitted under the agreement aren’t enough to reach those goals — they’ve put the world on track for close to 3 degrees of warming by the end of the century.

But there’s reason to believe that climate action can still accelerate and put the world back on track, says Zeke Hausfather, director of climate and energy at environmental research center the Breakthrough Institute in California and a contributing author of the new report.

For one thing, the world has already made more progress in the last 10 years than experts might have predicted a decade ago.

“A decade ago, it did seem pretty plausible that the 21st century would be dominated by coal,” Hausfather said. “Global coal use had almost doubled in the previous decade. Global CO2 [emissions] had increased by a third.”

Some researchers argued at the time that it was possible for global coal use to increase sixfold by the end of this century, tripling global emissions.

Instead, coal consumption is now in decline, displaced by cheaper natural gas and renewable energy. The growth of global carbon emissions has slowed over the last decade and is expected to plateau in a matter of years.

And in the last couple of years, dozens of nations have proposed or outlined net-zero targets for themselves — a timeline, typically ending around 2050, over which they aim to reduce their carbon emissions to zero.

There’s still plenty of work to be done. Many of these net-zero targets are proposals only. They aren’t legally binding.

“But we’re finally moving away from this weird situation we had coming out of the 2015 Paris agreement, where we set a goal of 2 C but committed to things that reach 3 C,” Hausfather said.

And there’s an opportunity coming up soon for governments to formally strengthen their pledges under the Paris Agreement. The next U.N. Climate Change Conference — known as a “Conference of the Parties,” or COP — will be held this November in Glasgow, Scotland.

“I hope to see a lot more, and stronger, commitments at the upcoming COP in November,” Hausfather said. “We’re finally starting to see longer-term commitments by countries that are in line with the magnitude of what is needed to actually meet the Paris Agreement targets.”

Never too late

The Paris climate targets are still within reach, according to the new IPCC report — but the more ambitious target of 1.5 degrees is quickly approaching. The world is likely to hit it within a decade or two unless global greenhouse gas emissions dramatically decline within a few years.

But that’s no reason to despair, experts caution. There’s a misconception that exceeding a temperature target is akin to falling off a climate cliff. That’s not true.

Climate change is a mostly incremental process. Every little bit of warming makes it gradually worse, but that also means every bit of warming prevented makes a difference.

“There’s very little evidence in our models, or in climate science more broadly, that 1.5 C is fine and 1.6 C is catastrophic — or 2 C is fine and 2.1 C is the end of the world,” Hausfather said. “There’s no particular tipping points once you get slightly over these thresholds that cause things to spiral out of control.”

That doesn’t mean the world shouldn’t take these targets seriously. They’re important benchmarks, goals to help the world unite to halt climate change as early as possible. Climate impacts at 2 degrees will be worse than 1.5 degrees, and definitely worse at 3 degrees than at 2.

But there’s never a point at which it becomes too late to act.

“[I]f we blow through 1.5C, we can limit warming to well under 2C,” Marvel said.

The 2-degree target is still well within reach — but if, by terrible misfortune, the world misses that one as well, 2.5 or 3 degrees can still be prevented.

“To me, the problem is a continuum,” Tebaldi said. “And we need to face it and to try and do something without being too espoused to any specific target — because there is no such thing as a safe level, to the left of which we are safe and to the right of which we are toast.”

‘A unique moment’

The message from scientists is clear: There’s no time for despair. Action matters now more than ever.

The biggest global priority in the wake of the new report should be “getting it into the heart of governments,” according to Piers Forster, a climate scientist at the University of Leeds and another author of the report.

Previous IPCC reports have made a real, concrete difference in global climate policy, he noted in an email to E&E News.

In 2018, the panel released a special report on the 1.5-degree temperature target. To meet that target, the report warned, global greenhouse gas emissions would need to fall by nearly half over the next decade and reach zero by midcentury. This report spurred some governments to commission follow-up reports and ultimately to set their own net-zero targets, Forster said.

For individuals hoping to spur more climate action, experts say, getting through to their own governments is one of the most important steps.

“Call Congress NOW and let them know this is important to you,” Marvel said by email. “Then join something: a political organization, a youth movement, a community group.”

For anyone hoping to make large-scale changes in the world, “you may want to vote for people that reflect the same values,” Tebaldi added. “Put people in power that reflect that kind of priority.”

Individual actions matter, too. People can limit their carbon footprints in many ways, from flying or driving less to using less electricity at home. But it’s okay not to be perfect, Marvel added — “the system makes hypocrites of us all,” she said. Talking about climate change and advocating for high-level policy change can go a longer way.

The evolving, strengthening public dialogue around climate change is where Hausfather says he draws hope for the future.

“I feel like in the last year, or last two years really, climate change has gone from an issue that most people are worried about affecting their kids and grandkids to an issue that most people are worried about affecting them in their lifetime,” he said.

In the United States alone, extreme heat waves, wildfires, storms and floods have made climate change nearly impossible to ignore. The world is rapidly changing, and it’s affecting everyone.

“So I think having this very strong statement of scientific consensus of the broad international community, on top of all these events happening in plain sight in the real world right now, in some ways creates a unique moment — particularly in the U.S. political system — where we might be able to get real climate action at a scale that would have seemed unbelievable a few years before,” Hausfather said.

“So I’m hopeful. I think if anything can catalyze us to finally take this issue seriously and give it the policy response it deserves, it is this moment that we are in today.”

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